Putin is counting on a decline in United States interest in Ukraine. This can simply be a winning bet.

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Event analysis

The direction of American foreign policy may be closer to the Russian president’s vision, but he has already spoken about the United States.

By Anton Troianovsky

Report from Berlin

President Vladimir V. Putin’s strategy for defeating Ukraine can be summed up in a revealing moment from his February interview with former television host Tucker Carlson. Addressing the option of greater U. S. involvement in Ukraine, the Russian leader asked Americans: “Don’t you have anything more important to do?”

After several tumultuous weeks in U. S. politics, Putin is closer than ever to getting the answer he seeks.

President Biden, Ukraine’s closest ally, is mired in the biggest political crisis of his term, with calls from fellow Democrats for him to withdraw from the presidential race. Former President Donald J. Trump, the front-runner in the polls, chose as his running mate one of the biggest critics of U. S. aid to Kiev.

And at Thursday night’s Republican National Convention, Trump renewed his commitment to ending the war and channeled Putin to warn of “World War III. “

Overall, the direction of U. S. foreign policy may come closer to Putin’s expectations: a vision of the global that looks inward and cares far less about Ukraine than it does about the Russians, which would only be a matter of time before Washington leaves Kyiv. like its detractors. let’s say that Afghanistan will defect in 2021.

In the past, analysts have been present at United States votes and reports, while state television and pro-Kremlin blogs have covered Mr. S. extensively. Trump and Senator J. D. Vance as vice presidential candidate. Dmitry Trenin, former director of the Carnegie Moscow Center, said his takeaway from the vote is that “not all foreign issues” are on the list of priorities for American voters.

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